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Thursday, March 1st, 2018
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Cognitive Empathy in Conflict Situations
Christoph Kuzmics, Professor of Microeconomics, Department of Economics, University of Graz; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Causal Inference through the Method of Direct Estimation
Marc Ratkovic, Assistant Professor, Department of Politics, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Skewness, Tax Progression, and Demand for Redistribution: Evidence from the UK
Kirill Pogorelskiy, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Predicting and Understanding Initial Play
Drew Fudenberg, Paul A. Samuelson Professor of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Inference in Instrumental Variables Analysis with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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POSTPONED - Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been rescheduled to Wednesday, January 24, 2018.
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Learning
Philipp Strack, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

What Role Does Angel Finance Play in the Early-stage Capital Market?
Jun Chen, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marcelo Fernandez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box
Fabio Maccheroni, Full Professor, Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Time-varying Impact of Investor Sentiment
Pengfei Sui, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Subjective Utilitarianism: Individual decisions in a social context
Shiri Alon, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Bar Ilan University in Israel,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Learning about The Influence of Spatial and Temporal Proximity using Regression Trees
Ines Levin, Assistant Professor, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Minimal Subjective State Spaces
Igor Kopylov, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Communication in Context: Interpreting Promises in an Experiment on Competition and Trust
Alessandra Casella, Professor of Economics and Political Science, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Searching for Policy Reforms
Avidit Acharya, Assistant Professor, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian Indirect Inference and the ABC of GMM
Han Hong, Professor, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Wealth Effects and Information Acquisition
John Rehbeck, Assistant Professor of Economics, Ohio State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Conditional equilibria of multi-stage games with infinite sets of signals and actions
Roger Myerson, Glen A. Lloyd Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Nonparametric Analysis of Finite Mixtures
Yuichi Kitamura, Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition and Corruption: Theory and Evidence from India
Amrita Dhillon, Professor of Political Economy, King’s College London,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Phil Haile, Ford Foundation Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

How Much Does Your Boss Make? The Incentive Effects of Horizontal and Vertical Inequality
Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Assistant Professor, Anderson School of Management, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition with Rationally Inattentive Voters
Filip Matejka, Associate Professor with Tenure, CERGE-EI; Research Affiliate, Center for Economic and Policy Research,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Cushioning Benefits of Biased Beliefs
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Partial effects for binary outcome models with unobserved heterogeneity
Lucas Nunez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability
Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Price-setting by Committee: Evidence from Medicare
David Chan, Assistant Professor of Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Evolution of the Private Equity Market and the Decline in IPOs
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Cooperation and Dynamic Network Formation: A Game Theoretic Case Study
Michihiro Kandori, Professor of Economics, University of Tokyo,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Can Access to Capital Explain the Entrepreneurship Gender Gap?
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Two-Sided Learning and the Ratchet Principle
Gonzalo Cisternas, Professor, Sloan School of Management, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Bray Theory Workshop

This talk has been cancelled.
Asher Wolinsky, Professor, Department of Economics, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Preference Aggregation and Public Risk
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Fear
Ralph Adolphs, Bren Professor of Psychology and Neuroscience and Professor of Biology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Condorcet Jury Theorem and Cognitive Hierarchies: Theory and Experiments
Ali Ozkes, Postdoc, AMSE & Visitor in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Optimal Incentive Contract with Endogenous Monitoring Technology
Anqi Li, Professor, Department of Economics, Washington University, St. Louis,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Optimal Schedules for Security Games
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics and Mathematics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Risk Aversion as a Perceptual Bias
Michael Woodford, Professor, Department of Economics, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Bayesian Estimation of the Heuristic Switching Model
Mikhail Anufriev, Associate Professor, Economics Discipline Group, University of Technology, Sydney,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Influencing Connected Legislators
Marco Battaglini, Professor of Economics, Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED Bray Theory Workshop

Broad sequential equilibria of multi-stage games with infinite sets of signals and actions
Roger Myerson, Glen A. Lloyd Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Awareness of Unawareness: A Theory of Decision Making in the Face of Ignorance
Edi Karni, Professor, School of Arts & Sciences, Johns Hopkins University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Testable Forecasts
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Value of Persistent Information
Jusso Toikka, Professor, Department of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Preference Types and Welfare in Insurance Markets
Levon Barseghyan, Professor of Economics, Cornell University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Legislative Bargaining without Replacement: Theory and Experimental Evidence
Duk Gyoo Kim, Postdoctoral Scholar in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Equilibrium Selection in Stable Matching Mechanisms: Experimental Evidence
Ahrash Dianat, Postdoctoral Scholar in Economics at the Social Science Experimental Laboratory (SSEL), Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The Lobbyist's Dilemma: Gatekeeping and the Profit Motive
Alex Hirsch, Associate Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Candidate Entry and Political Polarization: Theory and Experiments
Jens Grosser, Visiting Associate in Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Bounded Cognition in Intertemporal Choice
Jawwad Noor, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Boston University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Optimal Dynamic Matching
Leeat Yariv, Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Collective Choice in Dynamic Public Good Provision: Real versus Formal Authority
George Georgiadis, Assistant Professor of Strategy, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Cost of Experimentation and the Evolution of Venture Capital
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Private Learning and Exit Decisions in Collaborations
Yingni Guo, Assistant Professor of Economics, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Subset Portfolios for Robust Asset Allocation
Ben Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Results of Pure Replication of Economics Lab Experiments and their Peer-Predictability
Colin Camerer, Robert Kirby Professor of Behavioral Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Stability, Strategy-proofness, and Cumulative Offer Mechanisms
Alexander Westkamp, Assistant Professor, School of Business and Economics, Maastricht University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Average Luce Model
Kota Saito, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Persistence of Power: Dynamic Multilateral Bargaining
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Complementarity in the Private Provision of Public Goods by Homo Pecuniarius and Homo Behavioralis
Yoram Halevy, Associate Professor, Vancouver School of Economics, University of British Columbia,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Stochastic Sorting
Jan Eeckhout, ICREA Researcher, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Sequential bidding in multi-stage all-pay auctions
Ella Segev, Senior Lecturer, Department of Industrial Engineering and Management, Ben-Gurion University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

The Empirical Relevance of Cumulative Prospect Theory
Charles Sprenger, Associate Professor, Rady School of Management, UC San Diego,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The speed of social learning
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics, Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Mergers, Innovation, and Entry-Exit Dynamics: The Consolidation of the Hard Disk Drive Industry
Kosuke Uetake, Assistant Professor of Marketing, Yale School of Management,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Extrapolation and Bubbles
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Experimenting with Measurement Error: Techniques and Applications from the Caltech Cohort Study
Ben Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, HSS, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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UPDATED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Fuzzy Forests: Variable selection among correlated predictors when p >> n
Christina Ramirez, Visiting Associate in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Agnostic Tests of Stochastic Discount Factor Theory
Richard Roll, Linde Institute Professor of Finance, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Alex Hirsch, Associate Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

The Implementation Duality
Larry Samuelson, A. Douglas Melamed Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Yale University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Social investments, informal risk sharing and inequality
Matthew Elliott, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Comparative Measures of Naivete and Sophistication for Dynamically Inconsistent Preferences
David Ahn, Associate Professor, Economics Department, UC Berkeley,