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Wednesday, October 26th, 2022
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identifying Prediction Mistakes in Observational Data
Ashesh Rambachan, Postdoctoral Researcher, Microsoft Research New England,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

(In)efficiency in Information Acquisition and Aggregation through Prices
Xavier Vives, Professor of Economics and Finance, IESE Business School, University of Navarra,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Blackwell Correlated Equilibrium
Doron Ravid, Assistant Professor, Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, University of Chicago,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Simplicity, Risk, and Financial Choice
Indira Puri, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, MIT,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

Diffusion of new products on networks
Gadi Fibich, Professor of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematical Sciences, Tel Aviv University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Distributions of Posterior Quantiles and Economic Applications
Kai Hao Yang, Assistant Professor of Economics, Yale School of Management.,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Making policies matter: Voter responses to campaign promises
Cesi Cruz, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, UCLA; Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Vancouver School of Economics, University of British Columbia,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Estimating Social Network Models with Missing Links
Arthur Lewbel, Barbara A. and Patrick E. Roche Professor of Economics, Boston College,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Reputation and Capture: Limits of the Administrative Presidency
Lindsey Gailmard, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Data driven nests in nested logit models
Elena Manresa, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Market Competition and Political Influence: An Integrated Approach
Dana Foarta, Assistant Professor of Political Economy, Stanford Graduate School of Business,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identification and Estimation of Social Interactions with Endogenous Group Formation
Shuyang Sheng, Assistant Professor of Economics, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Information and Disparities in Health Care Quality: Evidence from GP Choice in England
Zach Brown, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Michigan,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Recursive Differencing for Estimating Semiparametric Models
Roger Klein, Professor of Economics, Rutgers University,
Chan Shen, Associate Professor, Penn State,
,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bureaucratic Quality and Electoral Accountability
Tara Slough, Assistant Professor of Political Science, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Partisan Traps
Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, Sydney Stein Professor and Deputy Dean at the Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

To Fight or to Govern? Political Capital and Electoral Competition
Congyi Zhou, Assistant Professor of Political Science, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This seminar has been canceled.
Yunmi Kong, Assistant Professor of Economics, Rice University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identifying Prediction Mistakes in Observational Data
Ashesh Rambachan, Ph.D. candidate in Economics, Harvard University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

Optimal allocations with capacity constrained verification
Albin Erlanson, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Essex,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

What History Can Tell Us About How to Assess the State of Voting Rights and How to Amend the Voting Rights Act
J. Morgan Kousser, Professor of History and Social Science, Emeritus, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Comparative Statics of Persuasion
Ludvig Sinander, Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow in Economics, University of Oxford,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

All Along the Watchtower: Defense Lines and the Origins of Russian Serfdom
Andrea Matranga, Assistant Professor of Economics, Chapman University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

Trimming extreme reports in preference aggregation
Matias Nuñez, CNRS researcher at CREST and Professor at Ecole Polytechnique,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Does Harold Zurcher Have Time Separable Preferences?
Yi Xin, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bilateral trade under no subsidies and stochastic mechanisms; Multi-trader pairwise exchange with minimal subsidies
Jernej Copic, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identity-Based Elections
Helios Herrera, Professor of Economics, University of Warwick,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Informationally Robust Bilateral Trade
Songzi Du, Associate Professor of Economics, UC San Diego,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Common Agency without Delegation
Siyang Xiong, Professor of Economics, UC Riverside,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts
Michael Woodford, John Bates Clark Professor of Political Economy, Columbia University; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Political social-learning: short-term memory and cycles of polarisation
Gilat Levy, Professor, London School of Economics (LSE),
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Information aggregation in social networks
Svetlana Pevnitskaya, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech; Associate Professor of Economics, Florida State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Chaos and Unpredictability in Dynamic Public Policy Problems
Marco Battaglini, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech; Edward H. Meyer Professor of Economics, Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Information, Mobile Communication, and Referral Effects
Eleonora Patacchini, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech; Stephen and Barbara Friedman Professor of International Political Economy, Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Computationally Tractable Choice
Modibo Camara, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Disruptive Effects of Natural Disasters: The 1906 San Francisco Fire
Hanna Schwank, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Boston University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Contracting and vertical control by a dominant platform
Ellen Muir, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Preference Regression
Peter Caradonna, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Georgetown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Public Goods Under Financial Distress: Evidence from Cities in the Great Depression
Pawel Janas, PhD Candidate, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Signaling and Discrimination in Collaborative Projects
Paula Onuchic, Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow in Economics, Nuffield College, Oxford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Matching and Prices
Ravi Jagadeesan, Postdoctoral Scholar, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Analyzing Text Data Indexed by a Hidden Characteristic: Method and Application to the Study of Media Bias in the U.S.
Yimeng Li, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

Persuading a Rationally Inattentive Agent
Alexander Bloedel, Linde Institute Postdoctoral Scholar Research Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Policymaking in times of crisis
Federica Izzo, Assistant Professor of Political Science, UC San Diego,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Threshold Tests as Quality Signals: Optimal Strategies, Equilibria, and Price of Anarchy
David Kempe, Professor of Computer Science, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Private Private Information
Fedor Sandomirskiy, Linde Institute Postdoctoral Instructor in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Gender, Electoral Incentives, and Crisis Response: Evidence from Brazilian Mayors
Clemence Tricaud, Assistant Professor of Economics, UCLA Anderson School of Management,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

The economics of a 100% renewable power system
Lucien Werner, Graduate Student, Department of Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Risk and Information in Dispute Resolution: An Empirical Study of Arbitration
Bernardo Silveira, Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, UCLA,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

Bandits with Social Connections
Farzad Pourbabaee, Postdoctoral Instructor in Economic Theory, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Evaluating Economic Models
Drew Fudenberg, Paul A. Samuel Professor of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

A rational inattention theory of echo chamber
Anqi Li, Visiting Research Scholar, Olin Business School, Washington University in St. Louis; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

Decentralized, Coordination-Free Algorithms for Learning while Matching
Eric Mazumdar, Assistant Professor of Computing and Mathematical Sciences and Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Center for Social Information Sciences (CSIS) Seminar

Control and spread of contagion in networks
Tarun Sabarwal, Professor of Economics, University of Kansas,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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● POSTPONED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This seminar has been postponed.
Lindsey Gailmard, Graduate Student, Social Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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● POSTPONED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This seminar has been postponed.
Yimeng Li, Graduate Student, Social Science, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Identification of auctions with incomplete bid data in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity
Eric Mbakop, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Calgary,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Matching and equilibrium over an infinite horizon
Sophie Bade, Professor of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The permissible and the forbidden
Ariel Rubinstein, Professor of Economics, Tel Aviv University and New York University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
This seminar has been canceled.
Elena Manresa, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, New York University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Two Approaches to Iterated Reasoning in Games
Amanda Friedenberg, Professor of Economics and Director of Graduate Studies, University of Arizona,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The Wisdom of the Crowd and Higher-Order Beliefs
Mallesh Pai, Assistant Professor of Economics, Rice University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
This seminar has been canceled.
Konstantin Sonin, John Dewey Distinguished Service Professor, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Search Frictions and Product Design in the Municipal Bond Market
Karam Kang, Associate Professor of Economics, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The Law of Large Numbers for Large Stable Matchings
Jacob Schwartz, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Haifa,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Monitoring Teams
Marina Halac, Professor of Economics and Director of Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Regulatory Costs of Being Public: Evidence from Bunching Estimation
Michael Ewens, Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Rational Anabolic Persuasion
Ran Spiegler, Professor of Economics, Tel Aviv University & University College London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money (with Julien Combe, Yinghua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimerk and Olivier Tercieux)
Mohammad Akbarpour, Associate Professor of Economics, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Are Police Racially Biased in the Decision to Shoot?
Tom Clark, Charles Howard Candler Professor of Political Science, Emory University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Approximating Choice Data by Discrete Choice Models (with Yusuke Narita)
Kota Saito, Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Stochastic Price Adaptation, Waiting Lists, and Stochastic Gradient Descent
Itai Ashlagi, Associate Professor of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Efficiency with Political Power Dynamics and Costly Policy Change
Hülya Eraslan, Ralph O'Connor Professor of Economics, Rice University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Predictable Effects of Visual Salience in Experimental Decisions and Games
Xiaomin Li, Postdoctoral Scholar in Behavioral Economics and Neuroeconomics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
From Nash to Dominant: The Natural Index of Strategic Stability
Adam Tauman Kalai, Senior Principal Researcher, Microsoft Research,
Ehud Kalai, James J. O'Connor Distinguished Professor of Decision and Game Sciences, Northwestern University,