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Tuesday, May 1st, 2018
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Swing Voter's Curse in Social Networks
Lydia Mechtenberg, Professor of Economics, University of Hamburg; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Itai Ashlagi, Stanford University

Kidney Exchange: Market Failure and Solutions
Itai Ashlagi, Professor of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Diplomatic Relations and Conflict Management: A Dynamic Analysis
Brenton Kenkel, Assistant Professor, Vanderbilt University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Andrea Buffa, Boston University

Institutional Investors, Heterogeneous Benchmarks and the Comovement of Asset Prices
Andrea Buffa, Assistant Professor of Finance, Boston University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Costly Concessions: An Empirical Framework for Matching with Imperfectly Transferable Utility
Alfred Galichon, Professor of Economics and Mathematics, New York University, FAS and Courant Institute,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Ruling the Ruling Coalition: Information Control and Autocratic Governance
Arturas Rozenas, Assistant Professor of Politics, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Xing Huang, Washington University in St. Louis

Extrapolative Beliefs in the Cross-section: What Can We Learn from the Crowds?
Xing Huang, Assistant Professor of Finance, Olin School of Business, Washington University in St. Louis,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Updating
Martin Cripps, Professor of Economics, University College London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Daniela Saban, Stanford University

Improving the search for partners on two-sided online markets
Daniela Saban, Assistant Professor of Operations, Information & Technology, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Samuel Hartzmark, University of Chicago

Reconsidering Returns
Samuel Hartzmark, Assistant Professor of Finance, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation
Kei Kawai, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Additive-Belief-Based Preferences
David Dillenberger, Associate Professor of Economics (with tenure), University of Pennsylvania,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Shared Knowledge and Competition for Attention in Information Markets
Simone Galperti, Assistant Professor of Economics, UCSD; Visiting Assistant Professor, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Measuring Polarization in High-Dimensional Data: Method and Application to Congressional Speech
Jesse Shapiro, George S. and Nancy B. Parker Professor of Economics, Brown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Robert Engle, New York University

How Much SRISK is Too Much?
Robert Engle, Michael Armellino Professor of Finance, Stern School of Business, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Cognitive Empathy in Conflict Situations
Christoph Kuzmics, Professor of Microeconomics, Department of Economics, University of Graz; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Causal Inference through the Method of Direct Estimation
Marc Ratkovic, Assistant Professor, Department of Politics, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Skewness, Tax Progression, and Demand for Redistribution: Evidence from the UK
Kirill Pogorelskiy, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Predicting and Understanding Initial Play
Drew Fudenberg, Paul A. Samuelson Professor of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Inference in Instrumental Variables Analysis with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Alexander Lipton, StrongHold Labs & MIT

Modern Monetary Circuit Theory and Stability of Financial Ecosystem
Alexander Lipton, Founder and CEO, StrongHold Labs; Connection Science Fellow, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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POSTPONED - Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been rescheduled to Wednesday, January 24, 2018.
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Learning
Philipp Strack, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

What Role Does Angel Finance Play in the Early-stage Capital Market?
Jun Chen, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marcelo Fernandez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box
Fabio Maccheroni, Full Professor, Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Time-varying Impact of Investor Sentiment
Pengfei Sui, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Subjective Utilitarianism: Individual decisions in a social context
Shiri Alon, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Bar Ilan University in Israel,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Learning about The Influence of Spatial and Temporal Proximity using Regression Trees
Ines Levin, Assistant Professor, UC Irvine,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Cole Williams, UC Irvine

Echo Chambers: Disagreement and Polarization in Bayesian Learning
Cole Williams, Graduate Student, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Minimal Subjective State Spaces
Igor Kopylov, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Communication in Context: Interpreting Promises in an Experiment on Competition and Trust
Alessandra Casella, Professor of Economics and Political Science, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Irene Lo, Columbia University

Dynamic Matching in School Choice: Efficient Seat Reassignment after Late Cancellations
Irene Lo, PhD Candidate, Industrial Engineering and Operations Research Department, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Tarun Chordia, Emory University

p-hacking: Evidence from two million trading strategies
Tarun Chordia, Professor of Finance, Goizueta Business School, Emory University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Searching for Policy Reforms
Avidit Acharya, Assistant Professor, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian Indirect Inference and the ABC of GMM
Han Hong, Professor, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Teddy Mekonnen, Caltech

Ex-ante Comparative Statics: Responsiveness to Information Quality
Tewodros (Teddy) Mekonnen, Postdoctoral Scholar in Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Wealth Effects and Information Acquisition
John Rehbeck, Assistant Professor of Economics, Ohio State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Conditional equilibria of multi-stage games with infinite sets of signals and actions
Roger Myerson, Glen A. Lloyd Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Amy Ward, USC

Dynamic Matching for Real-Time Ridesharing
Amy Ward, Associate Professor, Marshall School of Business, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Nonparametric Analysis of Finite Mixtures
Yuichi Kitamura, Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition and Corruption: Theory and Evidence from India
Amrita Dhillon, Professor of Political Economy, King’s College London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Marcelo Fernandez, Caltech

Deferred Acceptance and Regret-Free Truthtelling: A characterization result
Marcelo Fernandez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Phil Haile, Ford Foundation Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

How Much Does Your Boss Make? The Incentive Effects of Horizontal and Vertical Inequality
Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Assistant Professor, Anderson School of Management, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition with Rationally Inattentive Voters
Filip Matejka, Associate Professor with Tenure, CERGE-EI; Research Affiliate, Center for Economic and Policy Research,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Cushioning Benefits of Biased Beliefs
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Partial effects for binary outcome models with unobserved heterogeneity
Lucas Nunez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability
Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Bernard Herskovic, UCLA

Acquiring Information Through Peers
Bernard Herskovic, Assistant Professor of Finance, Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Price-setting by Committee: Evidence from Medicare
David Chan, Assistant Professor of Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Mihai Manea

Bottleneck Links, Essential Intermediaries, and Competing Paths of Diffusion in Networks
Mihai Manea, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Evolution of the Private Equity Market and the Decline in IPOs
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Cooperation and Dynamic Network Formation: A Game Theoretic Case Study
Michihiro Kandori, Professor of Economics, University of Tokyo,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Can Access to Capital Explain the Entrepreneurship Gender Gap?
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Two-Sided Learning and the Ratchet Principle
Gonzalo Cisternas, Professor, Sloan School of Management, MIT,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Rachel Cummings

The Possibilities and Limitations of Private Prediction Markets
Rachel Cummings, Graduate Student, Computing & Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Finance Seminar: Will Goetzmann, Yale University

This talk has been cancelled.
Will Goetzmann, Edwin J. Beinecke Professor of Finance and Management Studies, School of Management, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Bray Theory Workshop

This talk has been cancelled.
Asher Wolinsky, Professor, Department of Economics, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Juba Ziani, Caltech

Efficiently characterizing games consistent with perturbed equilibrium observations
Juba Ziani, Graduate Student, Computer Science, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Preference Aggregation and Public Risk
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: John Zhu, University of Pennsylvania

Renegotiation of Dynamically Incomplete Contracts
John Zhu, Assistant Professor of Finance, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Fear
Ralph Adolphs, Bren Professor of Psychology and Neuroscience and Professor of Biology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Guillaume Roger, University of Sydney

Scale Effects in Dynamic Contracting
Guillaume Roger, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sydney,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Condorcet Jury Theorem and Cognitive Hierarchies: Theory and Experiments
Ali Ozkes, Postdoc, AMSE & Visitor in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Bettina Klaus, Universite de Lausanne

Object Allocation via Immediate-Acceptance: Characterizations and an Affirmative Action Application
Bettina Klaus, Professor, Department of Business and Economics, Universite de Lausanne,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Cary Frydman, USC Marshall School of Business

The Role of Salience and Attention in Choice Under Risk: An Experimental Investigation
Cary Frydman, Assistant Professor of Finance and Business Economics, Marshall School of Business, USC,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Shai Vardi, Caltech

Controlled Dynamic Fair Division
Shai Vardi, Postdoctoral Scholar in Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Optimal Incentive Contract with Endogenous Monitoring Technology
Anqi Li, Professor, Department of Economics, Washington University, St. Louis,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Optimal Schedules for Security Games
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics and Mathematics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Risk Aversion as a Perceptual Bias
Michael Woodford, Professor, Department of Economics, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Bayesian Estimation of the Heuristic Switching Model
Mikhail Anufriev, Associate Professor, Economics Discipline Group, University of Technology, Sydney,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Yu Cheng, USC

Computational Aspects of Optimal Information Revelation
Yu Cheng, Graduate Student, CS Theory Group, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Nicolae Gârleanu, UC Berkeley

Finance in a Time of Disruptive Growth
Nicolae Gârleanu, Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley,