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Wednesday, February 7th, 2018
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Skewness, Tax Progression, and Demand for Redistribution: Evidence from the UK
Kirill Pogorelskiy, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Predicting and Understanding Initial Play
Drew Fudenberg, Paul A. Samuelson Professor of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Inference in Instrumental Variables Analysis with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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POSTPONED - Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been rescheduled to Wednesday, January 24, 2018.
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Learning
Philipp Strack, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

What Role Does Angel Finance Play in the Early-stage Capital Market?
Jun Chen, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marcelo Fernandez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box
Fabio Maccheroni, Full Professor, Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Time-varying Impact of Investor Sentiment
Pengfei Sui, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Subjective Utilitarianism: Individual decisions in a social context
Shiri Alon, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Bar Ilan University in Israel,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Learning about The Influence of Spatial and Temporal Proximity using Regression Trees
Ines Levin, Assistant Professor, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Minimal Subjective State Spaces
Igor Kopylov, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Communication in Context: Interpreting Promises in an Experiment on Competition and Trust
Alessandra Casella, Professor of Economics and Political Science, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Searching for Policy Reforms
Avidit Acharya, Assistant Professor, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian Indirect Inference and the ABC of GMM
Han Hong, Professor, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Wealth Effects and Information Acquisition
John Rehbeck, Assistant Professor of Economics, Ohio State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Conditional equilibria of multi-stage games with infinite sets of signals and actions
Roger Myerson, Glen A. Lloyd Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Nonparametric Analysis of Finite Mixtures
Yuichi Kitamura, Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition and Corruption: Theory and Evidence from India
Amrita Dhillon, Professor of Political Economy, King’s College London,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Phil Haile, Ford Foundation Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

How Much Does Your Boss Make? The Incentive Effects of Horizontal and Vertical Inequality
Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Assistant Professor, Anderson School of Management, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition with Rationally Inattentive Voters
Filip Matejka, Associate Professor with Tenure, CERGE-EI; Research Affiliate, Center for Economic and Policy Research,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Cushioning Benefits of Biased Beliefs
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Partial effects for binary outcome models with unobserved heterogeneity
Lucas Nunez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability
Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Price-setting by Committee: Evidence from Medicare
David Chan, Assistant Professor of Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Evolution of the Private Equity Market and the Decline in IPOs
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

On Cross-Validated Lasso
Denis Chetverikov, Assistant Professor of Economics, UCLA,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Can Access to Capital Explain the Entrepreneurship Gender Gap?
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

"Winning by default: why is there so little competition in government procurement?" with Karam Kang
Robert Miller, Richard M. Cyert and Morris DeGroot Professor of Economics and Statistics, Professor of Economics and Strategy, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Preference Aggregation and Public Risk
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar/Political Economy Theory Workshop

Self-Evident Events and the Value of Linking
Jimmy Chan, Professor, Department of Economics, Fudan University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Fear
Ralph Adolphs, Bren Professor of Psychology and Neuroscience and Professor of Biology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Learning to Coordinate: A Study in Retail Gasoline
David Byrne, Senior Lecturer, Department of Economics, University of Melbourne,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Optimal Schedules for Security Games
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics and Mathematics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Bayesian Estimation of the Heuristic Switching Model
Mikhail Anufriev, Associate Professor, Economics Discipline Group, University of Technology, Sydney,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

A Theory of Decentralized Matching Markets without Transfer
Yu-Wei Hsieh, Assistant Professor of Economics, USC,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Testable Forecasts
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Legislative Bargaining without Replacement: Theory and Experimental Evidence
Duk Gyoo Kim, Postdoctoral Scholar in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Equilibrium Selection in Stable Matching Mechanisms: Experimental Evidence
Ahrash Dianat, Postdoctoral Scholar in Economics at the Social Science Experimental Laboratory (SSEL), Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

MCMC Confidence Sets for Identified Sets
Elie Tamer, Professor of Economics, Harvard University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Approximate Clustering
Stéphane Bonhomme, Professor, Department of Economics, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The Lobbyist's Dilemma: Gatekeeping and the Profit Motive
Alex Hirsch, Associate Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Candidate Entry and Political Polarization: Theory and Experiments
Jens Grosser, Visiting Associate in Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Optimal Dynamic Matching
Leeat Yariv, Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

History Dependence in Networks of Close Relationships: Theory and Applications
James Rauch, Professor of Economics, University of California, San Diego,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Cost of Experimentation and the Evolution of Venture Capital
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Subset Portfolios for Robust Asset Allocation
Ben Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Results of Pure Replication of Economics Lab Experiments and their Peer-Predictability
Colin Camerer, Robert Kirby Professor of Behavioral Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Average Luce Model
Kota Saito, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Persistence of Power: Dynamic Multilateral Bargaining
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Common Agency and Coordinated Bids in Sponsored Search Auctions
Francesco Decarolis, Assistant Professor of Economics, Boston University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Unobserved Preference Heterogeneity in Demand Using Generalized Random Coefficients
Arthur Lewbel, Barbara A. and Patrick E. Roche Professor of Economics, Boston College,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The speed of social learning
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics, Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Extrapolation and Bubbles
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Experimenting with Measurement Error: Techniques and Applications from the Caltech Cohort Study
Ben Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, HSS, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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UPDATED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Fuzzy Forests: Variable selection among correlated predictors when p >> n
Christina Ramirez, Visiting Associate in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Agnostic Tests of Stochastic Discount Factor Theory
Richard Roll, Linde Institute Professor of Finance, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Alex Hirsch, Associate Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Estimating Preferences in School Choice Mechanisms: Theoretical Foundation and Empirical Approaches
Yinghua He, Assistant Professor, Toulouse School of Economics,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Social investments, informal risk sharing and inequality
Matthew Elliott, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Necessary Luxuries: A New Social Interactions Model, Applied to Keeping Up With the Joneses in India
Krishna Pendakur, Professor of Economics, Simon Fraser University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Revealed Preferences over Risk and Uncertainty
Matthew Polisson, Visiting Associate in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Strategic Network Formation with Many Agents
Konrad Menzel, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

On the Long Run Volatility of Stocks
Carlos Carvalho, Associate Professor of Statistics, McCombs School of Business, The University of Texas at Austin,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Identifiability conditions for causal models
Frederick Eberhardt, Professor of Philosophy, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Cohabitation versus Marriage: Marriage Matching with Peer Effects (Co-authored with Aloysius Siow)
Ismael Mourifié, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Toronto,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Commitment and (In)Efficiency: a Bargaining Experiment (joint with Matt Elliott)
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Optimal Sup-norm Rates, Adaptive Estimation, and Inference in Nonparametric Instrumental Variables Estimation
Timothy Christensen, Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, New York University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Inside Rounds and Venture Capital Returns
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, HSS, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Parcel Tax Elections in California
Rod Kiewiet, Professor of Political Science, HSS, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

The Spread of Horizontal Chains: Efficiency or Market Power?
Brett Hollenbeck, Assistant Professor, UCLA Anderson School of Management,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Econometrics and Applied Micro Seminar

Identification and Estimation in Manipulable Assignment Mechanisms
Paulo Somaini, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,