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Tuesday, October 2nd, 2018
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Imperfect Beliefs Voting Model
Benjamin Ogden, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Texas A & M University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Political Economy of Debt and Entitlements
Alessandro Lizzeri, Professor of Economics, New York University; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Sequentially Optimal Mechanism Design
Laura Doval, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Network Effects in Information Acquisition
Tommaso Denti, Assistant Professor (Salvatore Faculty Fellow), Department of Economics, Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Estimating Signaling Games in International Relations: Problems, Solutions, and an Application to Economic Sanctions
Michael Gibilisco, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Times They Are A-Changing: Dynamic Adverse Selection in the Laboratory
Stephanie Wang, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Pittsburgh; Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Azeem Shaikh, Professor and Thornber Research Fellow, Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, University of Chicago,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Social Learning Equilibria
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics and Mathematics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Frictions in a Competitive Regulated Market: Evidence from Taxis
Alessandro Lizzeri, Professor of Economics, New York University; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Optimal Invariant Tests in an Instrumental Variables Regression With Heteroskedastic and Autocorrelated Errors
Marcelo Moreira, Professor of Economics, Fundação Getulio Vargas,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Swing Voter's Curse in Social Networks
Lydia Mechtenberg, Professor of Economics, University of Hamburg; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Diplomatic Relations and Conflict Management: A Dynamic Analysis
Brenton Kenkel, Assistant Professor, Vanderbilt University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Costly Concessions: An Empirical Framework for Matching with Imperfectly Transferable Utility
Alfred Galichon, Professor of Economics and Mathematics, New York University, FAS and Courant Institute,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Ruling the Ruling Coalition: Information Control and Autocratic Governance
Arturas Rozenas, Assistant Professor of Politics, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Updating
Martin Cripps, Professor of Economics, University College London,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation
Kei Kawai, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Additive-Belief-Based Preferences
David Dillenberger, Associate Professor of Economics (with tenure), University of Pennsylvania,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Shared Knowledge and Competition for Attention in Information Markets
Simone Galperti, Assistant Professor of Economics, UCSD; Visiting Assistant Professor, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Measuring Polarization in High-Dimensional Data: Method and Application to Congressional Speech
Jesse Shapiro, George S. and Nancy B. Parker Professor of Economics, Brown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Cognitive Empathy in Conflict Situations
Christoph Kuzmics, Professor of Microeconomics, Department of Economics, University of Graz; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Causal Inference through the Method of Direct Estimation
Marc Ratkovic, Assistant Professor, Department of Politics, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Skewness, Tax Progression, and Demand for Redistribution: Evidence from the UK
Kirill Pogorelskiy, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Predicting and Understanding Initial Play
Drew Fudenberg, Paul A. Samuelson Professor of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Inference in Instrumental Variables Analysis with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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POSTPONED - Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been rescheduled to Wednesday, January 24, 2018.
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Learning
Philipp Strack, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

What Role Does Angel Finance Play in the Early-stage Capital Market?
Jun Chen, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marcelo Fernandez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box
Fabio Maccheroni, Full Professor, Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Time-varying Impact of Investor Sentiment
Pengfei Sui, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Subjective Utilitarianism: Individual decisions in a social context
Shiri Alon, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Bar Ilan University in Israel,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Learning about The Influence of Spatial and Temporal Proximity using Regression Trees
Ines Levin, Assistant Professor, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Minimal Subjective State Spaces
Igor Kopylov, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Communication in Context: Interpreting Promises in an Experiment on Competition and Trust
Alessandra Casella, Professor of Economics and Political Science, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Searching for Policy Reforms
Avidit Acharya, Assistant Professor, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian Indirect Inference and the ABC of GMM
Han Hong, Professor, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Wealth Effects and Information Acquisition
John Rehbeck, Assistant Professor of Economics, Ohio State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Conditional equilibria of multi-stage games with infinite sets of signals and actions
Roger Myerson, Glen A. Lloyd Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Nonparametric Analysis of Finite Mixtures
Yuichi Kitamura, Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition and Corruption: Theory and Evidence from India
Amrita Dhillon, Professor of Political Economy, King’s College London,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Phil Haile, Ford Foundation Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

How Much Does Your Boss Make? The Incentive Effects of Horizontal and Vertical Inequality
Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Assistant Professor, Anderson School of Management, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition with Rationally Inattentive Voters
Filip Matejka, Associate Professor with Tenure, CERGE-EI; Research Affiliate, Center for Economic and Policy Research,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Cushioning Benefits of Biased Beliefs
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Partial effects for binary outcome models with unobserved heterogeneity
Lucas Nunez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability
Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Price-setting by Committee: Evidence from Medicare
David Chan, Assistant Professor of Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Evolution of the Private Equity Market and the Decline in IPOs
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Can Access to Capital Explain the Entrepreneurship Gender Gap?
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Inequality and the poor law in mid Victorian England
Jonathan Chapman, Assistant Professor of Economic History, NYU Abu Dhabi,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Death of the Rentiers (1912-1957)
Jean-Laurent Rosenthal, Rea A. and Lela G. Axline Professor of Business Economics; Ronald and Maxine Linde Leadership Chair, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED | Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Commercial Expansion and Churning: Business Organization in Egypt between 1911 and 1948
Cihan Artunc, Visiting Associate in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Preference Aggregation and Public Risk
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Fear
Ralph Adolphs, Bren Professor of Psychology and Neuroscience and Professor of Biology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Optimal Schedules for Security Games
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics and Mathematics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Bayesian Estimation of the Heuristic Switching Model
Mikhail Anufriev, Associate Professor, Economics Discipline Group, University of Technology, Sydney,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Building a New Imperial State: Agency Problems and Separation of Powers in English North America
Sean Gailmard, Professor, Travers Department of Political Science, UC Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

The Strength of American Federal Democracy
Roger Myerson, Glen A. Lloyd Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Reversal of Fortune? Geography, Climate, and the Distribution of Income Across Countries
Steve Haber, A.A. and Jeanne Welch Milligan Professor in the School of Humanities and Sciences, Professor of Political Science, Professor of History, Professor (by courtesy) of Economics at Stanford University, Peter and Helen Bing Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Testable Forecasts
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

'What commodity in Europe doth decay more than wood?' Scarcity, Political Ecology, and the Making of the English Atlantic
Keith Pluymers, Howard E. and Susanne C. Jessen Postdoctoral Instructor in the Humanities, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

The Rise of Europe and Atlantic Trade
Daudin Guillaume, Professor of Economics, Université Paris-Dauphine,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

The Timberland Economy in Southeastern Guizhou: Co-ownership, Securitization, and Risk-Sharing
Meng Zhang, Ph.D. Candidate, History Department, UCLA,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Logrolling for Private Interest: British MPs during the Railway Mania of 1845
Gabriel Mesevage, Marie Curie Early Stage Researcher, Department of Economics, University of Oxford; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Legislative Bargaining without Replacement: Theory and Experimental Evidence
Duk Gyoo Kim, Postdoctoral Scholar in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Equilibrium Selection in Stable Matching Mechanisms: Experimental Evidence
Ahrash Dianat, Postdoctoral Scholar in Economics at the Social Science Experimental Laboratory (SSEL), Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Network Contagion and Interbank Amplification During the Great Depression
Kris Mitchener, Robert and Susan Finocchio Endowed Chair and Professor of Economics, Leavey School of Business, Santa Clara University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The Lobbyist's Dilemma: Gatekeeping and the Profit Motive
Alex Hirsch, Associate Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Candidate Entry and Political Polarization: Theory and Experiments
Jens Grosser, Visiting Associate in Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Optimal Dynamic Matching
Leeat Yariv, Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Social Science History Seminar

Climate, Geography, and the Evolution of Economic and Political Institutions
Stephen Haber, A.A. and Jeanne Welch Milligan Professor of Political Science, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Cost of Experimentation and the Evolution of Venture Capital
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Subset Portfolios for Robust Asset Allocation
Ben Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Results of Pure Replication of Economics Lab Experiments and their Peer-Predictability
Colin Camerer, Robert Kirby Professor of Behavioral Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,