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Thursday, May 3rd, 2018
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Jarrad Harford, University of Washington

International Trade and the Propagation of Merger Waves
Jarrad Harford, Professor of Finance, Chair of the Department of Finance and Business Economics, Paul Pigott-PACCAR Professor in Business Administration, Foster School of Business, University of Washington,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Optimal Invariant Tests in an Instrumental Variables Regression With Heteroskedastic and Autocorrelated Errors
Marcelo Moreira, Professor of Economics, Fundação Getulio Vargas,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Swing Voter's Curse in Social Networks
Lydia Mechtenberg, Professor of Economics, University of Hamburg; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Itai Ashlagi, Stanford University

Kidney Exchange: Market Failure and Solutions
Itai Ashlagi, Professor of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Diplomatic Relations and Conflict Management: A Dynamic Analysis
Brenton Kenkel, Assistant Professor, Vanderbilt University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Andrea Buffa, Boston University

Institutional Investors, Heterogeneous Benchmarks and the Comovement of Asset Prices
Andrea Buffa, Assistant Professor of Finance, Boston University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Costly Concessions: An Empirical Framework for Matching with Imperfectly Transferable Utility
Alfred Galichon, Professor of Economics and Mathematics, New York University, FAS and Courant Institute,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Ruling the Ruling Coalition: Information Control and Autocratic Governance
Arturas Rozenas, Assistant Professor of Politics, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Xing Huang, Washington University in St. Louis

Extrapolative Beliefs in the Cross-section: What Can We Learn from the Crowds?
Xing Huang, Assistant Professor of Finance, Olin School of Business, Washington University in St. Louis,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian and Non-Bayesian Updating
Martin Cripps, Professor of Economics, University College London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Daniela Saban, Stanford University

Improving the search for partners on two-sided online markets
Daniela Saban, Assistant Professor of Operations, Information & Technology, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Samuel Hartzmark, University of Chicago

Reconsidering Returns
Samuel Hartzmark, Assistant Professor of Finance, Booth School of Business, University of Chicago,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation
Kei Kawai, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Additive-Belief-Based Preferences
David Dillenberger, Associate Professor of Economics (with tenure), University of Pennsylvania,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Shared Knowledge and Competition for Attention in Information Markets
Simone Galperti, Assistant Professor of Economics, UCSD; Visiting Assistant Professor, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Measuring Polarization in High-Dimensional Data: Method and Application to Congressional Speech
Jesse Shapiro, George S. and Nancy B. Parker Professor of Economics, Brown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Robert Engle, New York University

How Much SRISK is Too Much?
Robert Engle, Michael Armellino Professor of Finance, Stern School of Business, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Cognitive Empathy in Conflict Situations
Christoph Kuzmics, Professor of Microeconomics, Department of Economics, University of Graz; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Causal Inference through the Method of Direct Estimation
Marc Ratkovic, Assistant Professor, Department of Politics, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Skewness, Tax Progression, and Demand for Redistribution: Evidence from the UK
Kirill Pogorelskiy, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Predicting and Understanding Initial Play
Drew Fudenberg, Paul A. Samuelson Professor of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Inference in Instrumental Variables Analysis with Heterogeneous Treatment Effects
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Alexander Lipton, StrongHold Labs & MIT

Modern Monetary Circuit Theory and Stability of Financial Ecosystem
Alexander Lipton, Founder and CEO, StrongHold Labs; Connection Science Fellow, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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POSTPONED - Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been rescheduled to Wednesday, January 24, 2018.
Kirill Evdokimov, Assistant Professor, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Unrealistic Expectations and Misguided Learning
Philipp Strack, Assistant Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

What Role Does Angel Finance Play in the Early-stage Capital Market?
Jun Chen, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Marcelo Fernandez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Multinomial logit processes and preference discovery: inside and outside the black box
Fabio Maccheroni, Full Professor, Department of Decision Sciences, Bocconi University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Time-varying Impact of Investor Sentiment
Pengfei Sui, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Subjective Utilitarianism: Individual decisions in a social context
Shiri Alon, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Bar Ilan University in Israel,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Learning about The Influence of Spatial and Temporal Proximity using Regression Trees
Ines Levin, Assistant Professor, UC Irvine,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Cole Williams, UC Irvine

Echo Chambers: Disagreement and Polarization in Bayesian Learning
Cole Williams, Graduate Student, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Minimal Subjective State Spaces
Igor Kopylov, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, UC Irvine,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Communication in Context: Interpreting Promises in an Experiment on Competition and Trust
Alessandra Casella, Professor of Economics and Political Science, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Irene Lo, Columbia University

Dynamic Matching in School Choice: Efficient Seat Reassignment after Late Cancellations
Irene Lo, PhD Candidate, Industrial Engineering and Operations Research Department, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Tarun Chordia, Emory University

p-hacking: Evidence from two million trading strategies
Tarun Chordia, Professor of Finance, Goizueta Business School, Emory University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Searching for Policy Reforms
Avidit Acharya, Assistant Professor, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bayesian Indirect Inference and the ABC of GMM
Han Hong, Professor, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Teddy Mekonnen, Caltech

Ex-ante Comparative Statics: Responsiveness to Information Quality
Tewodros (Teddy) Mekonnen, Postdoctoral Scholar in Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Wealth Effects and Information Acquisition
John Rehbeck, Assistant Professor of Economics, Ohio State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Conditional equilibria of multi-stage games with infinite sets of signals and actions
Roger Myerson, Glen A. Lloyd Distinguished Service Professor of Economics, University of Chicago; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Amy Ward, USC

Dynamic Matching for Real-Time Ridesharing
Amy Ward, Associate Professor, Marshall School of Business, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Nonparametric Analysis of Finite Mixtures
Yuichi Kitamura, Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition and Corruption: Theory and Evidence from India
Amrita Dhillon, Professor of Political Economy, King’s College London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Marcelo Fernandez, Caltech

Deferred Acceptance and Regret-Free Truthtelling: A characterization result
Marcelo Fernandez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Phil Haile, Ford Foundation Professor of Economics, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

How Much Does Your Boss Make? The Incentive Effects of Horizontal and Vertical Inequality
Ricardo Perez-Truglia, Assistant Professor, Anderson School of Management, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Electoral Competition with Rationally Inattentive Voters
Filip Matejka, Associate Professor with Tenure, CERGE-EI; Research Affiliate, Center for Economic and Policy Research,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Cushioning Benefits of Biased Beliefs
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Partial effects for binary outcome models with unobserved heterogeneity
Lucas Nunez, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Career Concerns and the Dynamics of Electoral Accountability
Gabriel Lopez-Moctezuma, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Bernard Herskovic, UCLA

Acquiring Information Through Peers
Bernard Herskovic, Assistant Professor of Finance, Anderson School of Management, University of California, Los Angeles,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Price-setting by Committee: Evidence from Medicare
David Chan, Assistant Professor of Medicine, Stanford School of Medicine,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Mihai Manea

Bottleneck Links, Essential Intermediaries, and Competing Paths of Diffusion in Networks
Mihai Manea, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Evolution of the Private Equity Market and the Decline in IPOs
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Rachel Cummings

The Possibilities and Limitations of Private Prediction Markets
Rachel Cummings, Graduate Student, Computing & Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Finance Seminar: Will Goetzmann, Yale University

This talk has been cancelled.
Will Goetzmann, Edwin J. Beinecke Professor of Finance and Management Studies, School of Management, Yale University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Juba Ziani, Caltech

Efficiently characterizing games consistent with perturbed equilibrium observations
Juba Ziani, Graduate Student, Computer Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: John Zhu, University of Pennsylvania

Renegotiation of Dynamically Incomplete Contracts
John Zhu, Assistant Professor of Finance, The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Guillaume Roger, University of Sydney

Scale Effects in Dynamic Contracting
Guillaume Roger, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sydney,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Bettina Klaus, Universite de Lausanne

Object Allocation via Immediate-Acceptance: Characterizations and an Affirmative Action Application
Bettina Klaus, Professor, Department of Business and Economics, Universite de Lausanne,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Cary Frydman, USC Marshall School of Business

The Role of Salience and Attention in Choice Under Risk: An Experimental Investigation
Cary Frydman, Assistant Professor of Finance and Business Economics, Marshall School of Business, USC,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Shai Vardi, Caltech

Controlled Dynamic Fair Division
Shai Vardi, Postdoctoral Scholar in Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Yu Cheng, USC

Computational Aspects of Optimal Information Revelation
Yu Cheng, Graduate Student, CS Theory Group, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Nicolae Gârleanu, UC Berkeley

Finance in a Time of Disruptive Growth
Nicolae Gârleanu, Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Jun Zhang, Caltech

Level-k Reasoning in School Choice
Jun Zhang, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Juhani Linnainmaa, University of Chicago

The History of the Cross Section of Stock Returns
Juhani Linnainmaa, Associate Professor of Finance and Business Economics, Marshall School of Business, USC,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Dorothea Kubler, WZB Berlin Social Science Center

College Admissions with Entrance Exams: Centralized versus Decentralized
Dorothea Kubler, Professor and Director of the Research Unit, WZB Berlin Social Science Center,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Song Ma, Yale School of Management

Agency, Incentives, and Motivating Innovation
Song Ma, Assistant Professor of Finance, School of Management, Yale University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Aviad Rubenstein, UC Berkeley

Hardness of Approximation between P and NP
Aviad Rubenstein, Computer Science PhD Candidate, UC Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Juba Ziani, Caltech

Efficiently characterizing games consistent with perturbed equilibrium observations
Juba Ziani, Graduate Student, Computer Science, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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CANCELLED Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Jörgen Kratz, Lund University

Kidney Exchange over the Blood Group Barrier
Jörgen Kratz, Graduate Student, Department of Economics, Lund University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Leonard Schulman, Caltech

The Duality Gap for Two-Team Zero-Sum Games
Leonard Schulman, Professor of Computer Science, Engineering & Applied Science, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Haifeng Xu, USC

Persuasion Through the Computational Lens
Haifeng Xu, Graduate Student, Economics & Computation, USC,