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Tuesday, May 12th, 2015
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Sean Gailmard, Associate Professor, Travers Department of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Revealed Preferences over Risk and Uncertainty
Matthew Polisson, Visiting Associate in Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Inequality and Social Comparisons
Elizabeth Maggie Penn, Associate Professor of Political Science, Washington University in St. Louis,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Competing for Loyalty: The Dynamics of Political Support
Matias Iaryczower, Assistant Professor of Politics, Department of Politics, Princeton University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Identifiability conditions for causal models
Frederick Eberhardt, Professor of Philosophy, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

The Evolution of Modern Militaries
Jon Bendor, Walter and Elise Haas Professor of Political Economics and Organizations, Stanford Graduate School of Business, School of Humanities and Sciences,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Commitment and (In)Efficiency: a Bargaining Experiment (joint with Matt Elliott)
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Politics and Administration
Michael M. Ting, Professor of Political Science and International and Public Affairs, Department of Political Science, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Informative Cheap Talk in Elections
Navin Kartik, Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Inside Rounds and Venture Capital Returns
Michael Ewens, Associate Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, HSS, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

"Giving" in to Social Pressure (co-authored with Alvaro J. Name-Correa, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
Huseyin Yildirim, Professor, Department of Economics, Duke University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Parcel Tax Elections in California
Rod Kiewiet, Professor of Political Science, HSS, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Political Competition in Legislative Elections
Mattias Polborn, Director of Graduate Studies, Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, College of Liberal Arts and Sciences, University of Illinois,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Capital Cities, Conflict, and Misgovernance: Theory and Evidence
Filipe R. Campante, Associate Professor of Public Policy, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Projects and Team Dynamics
George Georgiadis, Linde Institute Postdoctoral Instructor in Business, Economics, and Management, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Predictability and Power in Legislative Bargaining (joint with B. Douglas Bernheim and Xiaochen Fan)
S. Nageeb Ali, University of California, San Diego,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Decentralized Bargaining: Efficiency and the Core
Matthew Elliott, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Dynamic Agenda Setting (joint with Ying Chen)
Hulya Eraslan, Johns Hopkins University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Measuring Fraud in Aid
Jean Ensminger, Edie and Lew Wasserman Professor of Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Counterfactual Inference in High-Dimensional Demand Systems
Benjamin (Ben) Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Collusion through Communication in Auctions (joint with Leeat Yariv)
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Challengers as Monitors: Implications for the Incumbency Advantage and Voter Welfare
Scott Ashworth, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The Right Type of Legislator (joint with Andrea Mattozzi)
Erik Snowberg, Professor of Economics and Political Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

The Persistence of Political Partisanship: Evidence from 9/11
Ethan Kaplan, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Maryland,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Moral Hazard in Dynamic Risk Management (Joint with D. Possamai and N. Touzi)
Jaksa Cvitanic, Richard N. Merkin Professor of Mathematical Finance, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

State Capacity and Economic Development: A Network Approach
Camilo Garcia-Jimeno, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Pennsylvania,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Persuading Voters
Odilon Camara, Assistant Professor of Finance and Business Economics, University of Southern California,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Competitive Policy Entrepreneurship
Alexander V. Hirsch, Assistant Professor of Politics and Public Affairs, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Mis-allocation of Political Capital
Frederico Finan, University of California, Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Savage in the Market
Kota Saito, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
Federico Echenique, Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

On the Joint Evolution of Culture and Institutions (with Thierry Verdier, Paris School of Economics)
Alberto Bisin, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Preferential Voting and the Selection of Party Leaders: Evidence from Sweden
Olle Folke, Assistant Professor of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Ranking Experts by an Ignorant Planner: Universal Mechanisms, Entropy Scoring and Implementation (joint with D. Prelec, S. Radas and H. Sikic)
Jaksa Cvitanic, Richard N. Merkin Professor of Mathematical Finance, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

How Do Voters Respond to Information? Evidence from a Randomized Campaign
Francesco Trebbi, University of British Columbia,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Fighting rather than Bargaining
James Fearon, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Equilibrium as a Steady State in Games with Uncertainty
Jernej Copic, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of California, Los Angeles,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Ideology and Nationalism in Basque Parliamentary Elections
Stephen Ansolabehere, Professor of Government, Harvard University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Stochastic Choice and Hedging (joint project with Marina Agranov)
Pietro Ortoleva, Associate Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Evaluating Competing Explanations for The Midterm Gap: A Unified Econometric Approach with Microfoundations
Brian Knight, Professor of Economics, Brown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Divided Majority and Information Aggregation: Theory and Experiment
Laurent Bouton, Assistant Professor of Economics, Boston University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Preplay Commitment in First-price Auctions
Yunjian Xu, Postdoctoral Scholar in Cener for the Mathematics of Information, Computer Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Do Elected Councils Improve Governance Outcomes? Experimental Evidence on Local Institutions in Afghanistan (Joint with Andrew Beath and Fotini Christia)
Ruben Enikolopov, Nordea Assistant Professor of Finance, The New Economic School (NES),
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Subjective Timing of Randomization and Ambiguity
Kota Saito, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Accountability, Authority and Media
Cesar Martinelli, Professor of Economics, ITAM (Autonomous Technological Institute of Mexico),
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

A Theory of Political and Economic Cycles
Pierre Yared, Assistant Professor, Graduate School of Business, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Institutional Choices and House of Commons Debate, 1832-1915 (joint with Andrew Eggers)
Arthur Spirling, John L. Loeb Associate Professor of the Social Sciences, Department of Government, Harvard University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Topic to be Announced
Odilon Camara, University of Southern California,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Understanding Ethnic Cooperation: Evidence from Experiments in Kenya
Edward Miguel, Professor of Economics, UC Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Confidence and Overconfidence and Political Economy (joint with Pietro Ortoleva)
Erik Snowberg, Professor of Economics and Political Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

The Demand for Bad Policy When Voters Do Not Understand Equilibrium Effects (with Ernesto Dal Bó and Erik Eyster)
Pedro Dal Bo, Associate Professor of Economics, Brown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Statistical Analysis of Results from Laboratory Studies in Experimental Economics: A Critique of Current Practice
Donald Green, Professor of Political Science, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Equilibrium Tax Rates and Income Redistribution: A Laboratory Study (joint with Thomas Palfrey)
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Collective Self-Control
Alessandro Lizzeri, Professor of Economics, New York University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Information Aggregation in the Field: an Application to Sales Forecasting
Benjamin J. Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Sailing the Waters Edge: Where Domestic Politics Meets Foreign Policy
Dustin Tingley, Assistant Professor of Government, Harvard University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Gridlock and Delegation in a Changing World
Steve Callander, Associate Professor of Political Economy, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

How Better Information Can Garble Experts' Advice (joint with Ben Golub and Andrei Kirilenko)
Matthew Elliott, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Do Political Blogs Matter? Corruption in State-controlled Companies, Blog Postings, and DDoS Attacks
Maria Petrova, UBS Assistant Professor of Economics, New Economic School, Moscow, Visiting Associate Research Scholar, Ctr. for the Study of Democratic Politics, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Competitive Policy Entrepreneurship
Alexander Hirsch, Assistant Professor of Politics and Public Affairs, Princeton University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Incentive Compatibility, Efficiency and Network Centrality in Public Good Games
Matthew Elliott, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Rumor, Truths, and Reality: A Study of Political Misinformation
Adam Berinsky, Associate Professor of Political Science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Re-Election Through Division
Richard Van Weelden, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The Power of Revealed Preference Tests: Ex-Post Evaluation of Experimental Design
Benjamin Gillen, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Religious Practice and Political Trust in India: Exploring the Causal Role of an Attribute
Jasjeet Sekhon, Associate Professor of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Substituting the End for the Whole: Why Voters Respond Primarily to the Election-Year Economy
Gabriel Lenz, Assistant Professor of Political Behavior, American Politics, University of California, Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

The Effect of Negotiations on Bargaining in Legislatures
Marina Agranov, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Strategic Social Pressure: Theory and Experiment (with Margaret Neale and Hugaveera Rao)
David Baron, Visiting Professor in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy

Strengthening State Capabilities: The Role of Financial Incentives in the Call To Public Service
Ernesto Dal Bo, Associate Professor, Haas Business and Public Policy Group, University of California, Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Risky-Taking" Behavior in Dynamic Tournaments with Interim Performance Information
Joseph Wang, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Bray Theory Workshop

Minority Party Influence in Competitive Partisan Legislatures (co-authored with Keith Krehbiel)
Alan E. Wiseman, Associate Professor of Political Science, Vanderbilt University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

Voter Behavior, Term Limits and Seniority Advantage in Pork Barrel Politics
Cortney Rodet, Postdoctoral Scholar in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social Sciences Brown Bag Seminar

See event detail for location
Racial Gerrymandering in Texas: Why We Still Need the Voting Rights Act
J. Morgan Kousser, Professor of History and Social Science, Caltech,