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Tuesday, May 21st, 2019
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This seminar has been cancelled.
Shigeo Hirano, Associate Professor, Department of Political Science, Columbia University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social and Information Sciences Laboratory (SISL) Seminar

Mislearning from Censored Data: The Gambler's Fallacy in Optimal-Stopping Problems
Kevin He, PhD Candidate in Economics, Harvard University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar

Home Equity Mitigates the Financial and Mortality Consequences of Health Shocks: Evidence from Cancer Diagnoses
Arpit Gupta, Assistant Professor, Stern School of Business, New York University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

An Impossibility Theorem for Wealth in Heterogeneous-agent Models with Limited Heterogeneity
Alexis Toda, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, UC San Diego,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social and Information Sciences Laboratory (SISL) Seminar

Intertemporal Consumption With Risk: A Revealed Preference Analysis
Songfa Zhong, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, National University of Singapore; 2018-2019 NUS Fellow, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Attention and Selection Effects
Colin Stewart, Professor, Department of Economics, University of Toronto,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Political Economy of Discrimination
Torun Dewan, Professor of Political Science, London School of Economics & Political Science,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Fake News, Voter Overconfidence, and the Quality of Democratic Choice
Jean-Robert Tyran, Professor of Economics, Director of the Vienna Center for Experimental Economics, and Vice-Rector for Research and International Affairs, University of Vienna,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Subprime Mortgage Crisis and the Tea Party Movement: Evidence from Nationwide Campaign Finance and Real Estate Transactions
Zhao Li, PhD Candidate in Political Economics, Stanford Graduate School of Business,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Democracy in America? Partisanship, Polarization, and the Robustness of Support for Democracy in the United States
Milan Svolik, Professor of Political Science, Department of Political Science, Yale University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Optimal Incentives under Moral Hazard: From Theory to Practice
George Georgiadis, Associate Professor of Strategy, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Making policies matter: Voter responses to campaign promises
Francesco Trebbi, Professor of Economics, Vancouver School of Economics, University of British Columbia,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social and Information Sciences Laboratory (SISL) Seminar

Informational Robustness in Intertemporal Pricing
Jonathan Libgober, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Southern California,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Correlated Large Contests
Juuso Välimäki, Professor, Department of Economics, Aalto University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Searching for Approval
Ali Hortacsu, Professor of Economics, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Strategy Choice In The Infinitely Repeated Prisoners Dilemma
Pedro Dal Bo, Professor of Economics, Brown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Persuasion Meets Delegation
Anton Kolotilin, Associate Professor, UNSW Business School,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Informational roles of pre-election polls
Jinhee Jo, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Kyung Hee University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar

Recommendations with Feedback
Gustavo Manso, Professor of Finance and William A. and Betty H. Hasler Chair in New Enterprise Development, Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identifying the Discount Factor in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models
Jaap Abbring, Professor of Econometrics, University of Tilburg,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar

Spillover Effects of the Opioid Epidemic on Consumer Finance
Mark Jansen, Assistant Professor of Finance, Eccles School of Business, University of Utah,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Strategically Simple Mechanisms
Tilman Börgers, Professor, Department of Economics, University of Michigan,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Endogenous Intractability: Why Some Persistent Problems Persist
Bob Powell, Professor of Political Science, Department of Political Science, UC Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Heterogeneity of Gain-Loss Attitudes and Expectations-Based Reference Points
Charlie Sprenger, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Rady School of Management, UC San Diego,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Collective Hold-Up
Santiago Oliveros, Professor of Economics, University of Essex,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Estimation of Peer Effects in Endogenous Social Networks: Control Function Approach
Hyungsik Roger Moon, Professor in Economics, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

How Do People Choose Between Biased Information Sources? Evidence from a Laboratory Experiment
Sevgi Yuksel, Assistant Professor of Economics, UC Santa Barbara ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Demand Analysis with Many Prices
Whitney Newey, Ford Professor of Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Preferences for the Resolution of Uncertainty and the Timing of Information
Kirby Nielsen, Postdoctoral Fellow, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Reshaping Global Trade: The Immediate and Long-Term Effects of Bank Failures
Chenzi Xu, PhD Candidate in Economics, Harvard University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Finance Seminar

Exploration or Exploitation? Hedge Funds in Venture Capital
Laura Lindsey, Associate Professor of Finance, W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

When Are Robust Contracts Linear?
Gabriel Carroll, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Inference under Covariate-Adaptive Randomization
Azeem Shaikh, Professor, Department of Economics, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social and Information Sciences Laboratory (SISL) Seminar

A Theory of Recursive Aggregation with Applications
Hamed Hamze Bajgiran, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Semiparametrically Efficient Estimation of the Average Linear Regression Function
Bryan Graham, Associate Professor, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Design of Lotteries and Waitlists for Affordable Housing Allocation
Peng Shi, Assistant Professor, Marshall School of Business, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Consistency of Other-regarding Preferences
Han Seo, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar

Selling Fast and Buying Slow: Heuristics and Trading Performance of Institutional Investors
Alex Imas, William S. Dietrich II Assistant Professor in Behavioral Economics, Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

A Theory of Recursive Aggregation with Applications
Hamed Hamze Bajgiran, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Experts and Financial Ties: Evidence from FDA Advisory Committees
Fanny Camara, Assistant Professor of Economics, Dana and David Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Solving the Common-Pool Resource Problem Using Markets? A Study of the Surface Water Trading and Groundwater Depletion in CA
Hao Zhao, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Social and Information Sciences Laboratory (SISL) Seminar

Random versus Directed Search with Constrained Capacity
Tewodros (Teddy) Mekonnen, Postdoctoral Scholar in Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Caltech ,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Estimation with Aggregate Shocks
Jinyong Hahn, Professor of Economics, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

A Road to Efficiency Through Communication and Commitment
Joao Ramos, Assistant Professor, Marshall School of Business, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Tampering with Information
Odilon Camara, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech; Associate Professor of Finance and Business Economics, USC Marshall School of Business,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identification and Estimation of Dynamic Structural Models with Unobserved Choices
Yi Xin, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar

Information Design in Service Systems and Markets
Krishnamurthy Iyer, Assistant Professor, School of Operations Research and Information Engineering (ORIE), Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Stochastic Dominance under Independent Noise
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar

Capital Market Anomalies and Quantitative Research
Justin Birru, Associate Professor, Fisher School of Business, Ohio State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Efficient Coding and Risky Choice
Lawrence Jin, Assistant Professor of Finance, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Election Coverage and Slant in Television News
Gregory Martin, Assistant Professor of Political Economy, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

New Centrality Measures in Networks and their Application
Fuad Aleskerov, Professor, National Research University Higher School of Economics and Institute of Control Sciences of Russian Academy of Sciences,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Failures in Contingent Reasoning: The Role of Uncertainty
Emanuel Vespa, Assistant Professor of Economics, UC Santa Barbara,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Words and Weapons: Analyzing Reactions to Gun Violence with a Social Media Panel
Nicholas Adams-Cohen, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar

Learning Fast or Slow
Terrance Odean, Rudd Family Foundation Professor of Finance, Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

When Fair Isn't Fair: Understanding Choice Anomalies Involving Social Preferences
Jeffrey Naecker, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Wesleyan University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Imperfect Beliefs Voting Model
Benjamin Ogden, Assistant Professor, Department of Political Science, Texas A & M University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Political Economy of Debt and Entitlements
Alessandro Lizzeri, Professor of Economics, New York University; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Luciano Pomatto, Caltech

Modeling the cost of information
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Chad Kendall, USC

Herding and Contrarianism: A Matter of Preference?
Chad Kendall, Assistant Professor, Finance and Business Economics, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Sequentially Optimal Mechanism Design
Laura Doval, Assistant Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Network Effects in Information Acquisition
Tommaso Denti, Assistant Professor (Salvatore Faculty Fellow), Department of Economics, Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Estimating Signaling Games in International Relations: Problems, Solutions, and an Application to Economic Sanctions
Michael Gibilisco, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Arthur Korteweg, USC

Venture Capital Contracts
Arthur Korteweg, Dean's Associate Professor in Business Administration & Associate Professor of Finance and Business Economics, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Times They Are A-Changing: Dynamic Adverse Selection in the Laboratory
Stephanie Wang, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Pittsburgh; Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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CANCELLED | Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This talk has been cancelled.
Azeem Shaikh, Professor and Thornber Research Fellow, Kenneth C. Griffin Department of Economics, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Shai Vardi, Caltech

Stepwise Presidential Election Reform
Shai Vardi, Postdoctoral Scholar in Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Social Learning Equilibria
Omer Tamuz, Assistant Professor of Economics and Mathematics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Frictions in a Competitive Regulated Market: Evidence from Taxis
Alessandro Lizzeri, Professor of Economics, New York University; Moore Distinguished Scholar, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Finance Seminar: Jarrad Harford, University of Washington

International Trade and the Propagation of Merger Waves
Jarrad Harford, Professor of Finance, Chair of the Department of Finance and Business Economics, Paul Pigott-PACCAR Professor in Business Administration, Foster School of Business, University of Washington,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Optimal Invariant Tests in an Instrumental Variables Regression With Heteroskedastic and Autocorrelated Errors
Marcelo Moreira, Professor of Economics, Fundação Getulio Vargas,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Swing Voter's Curse in Social Networks
Lydia Mechtenberg, Professor of Economics, University of Hamburg; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Linde Institute/SISL Seminar: Itai Ashlagi, Stanford University

Kidney Exchange: Market Failure and Solutions
Itai Ashlagi, Professor of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Diplomatic Relations and Conflict Management: A Dynamic Analysis
Brenton Kenkel, Assistant Professor, Vanderbilt University,