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Tuesday, May 3rd, 2022
4:00pm 5:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identifying Prediction Mistakes in Observational Data
Ashesh Rambachan, Ph.D. candidate in Economics, Harvard University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

What History Can Tell Us About How to Assess the State of Voting Rights and How to Amend the Voting Rights Act
J. Morgan Kousser, Professor of History and Social Science, Emeritus, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

The Comparative Statics of Persuasion
Ludvig Sinander, Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow in Economics, University of Oxford,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

All Along the Watchtower: Defense Lines and the Origins of Russian Serfdom
Andrea Matranga, Assistant Professor of Economics, Chapman University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Does Harold Zurcher Have Time Separable Preferences?
Yi Xin, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Bilateral trade under no subsidies and stochastic mechanisms; Multi-trader pairwise exchange with minimal subsidies
Jernej Copic, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Identity-Based Elections
Helios Herrera, Professor of Economics, University of Warwick,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Informationally Robust Bilateral Trade
Songzi Du, Associate Professor of Economics, UC San Diego,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Common Agency without Delegation
Siyang Xiong, Professor of Economics, UC Riverside,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Optimally Imprecise Memory and Biased Forecasts
Michael Woodford, John Bates Clark Professor of Political Economy, Columbia University; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Political social-learning: short-term memory and cycles of polarisation
Gilat Levy, Professor, London School of Economics (LSE),
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Information aggregation in social networks
Svetlana Pevnitskaya, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech; Associate Professor of Economics, Florida State University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Chaos and Unpredictability in Dynamic Public Policy Problems
Marco Battaglini, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech; Edward H. Meyer Professor of Economics, Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Information, Mobile Communication, and Referral Effects
Eleonora Patacchini, Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech; Stephen and Barbara Friedman Professor of International Political Economy, Cornell University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Computationally Tractable Choice
Modibo Camara, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Disruptive Effects of Natural Disasters: The 1906 San Francisco Fire
Hanna Schwank, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Boston University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Contracting and vertical control by a dominant platform
Ellen Muir, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Preference Regression
Peter Caradonna, PhD Candidate, Department of Economics, Georgetown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Public Goods Under Financial Distress: Evidence from Cities in the Great Depression
Pawel Janas, PhD Candidate, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Signaling and Discrimination in Collaborative Projects
Paula Onuchic, Postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow in Economics, Nuffield College, Oxford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Matching and Prices
Ravi Jagadeesan, Postdoctoral Scholar, Department of Economics, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Analyzing Text Data Indexed by a Hidden Characteristic: Method and Application to the Study of Media Bias in the U.S.
Yimeng Li, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Policymaking in times of crisis
Federica Izzo, Assistant Professor of Political Science, UC San Diego,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Threshold Tests as Quality Signals: Optimal Strategies, Equilibria, and Price of Anarchy
David Kempe, Professor of Computer Science, USC,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Private Private Information
Fedor Sandomirskiy, Linde Institute Postdoctoral Instructor in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Gender, Electoral Incentives, and Crisis Response: Evidence from Brazilian Mayors
Clemence Tricaud, Assistant Professor of Economics, UCLA Anderson School of Management,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Risk and Information in Dispute Resolution: An Empirical Study of Arbitration
Bernardo Silveira, Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, UCLA,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Evaluating Economic Models
Drew Fudenberg, Paul A. Samuel Professor of Economics, MIT,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

A rational inattention theory of echo chamber
Anqi Li, Visiting Research Scholar, Olin Business School, Washington University in St. Louis; Visiting Associate in Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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● POSTPONED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This seminar has been postponed.
Lindsey Gailmard, Graduate Student, Social Science, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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● POSTPONED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

This seminar has been postponed.
Yimeng Li, Graduate Student, Social Science, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Identification of auctions with incomplete bid data in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity
Eric Mbakop, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Calgary,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Matching and equilibrium over an infinite horizon
Sophie Bade, Professor of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The permissible and the forbidden
Ariel Rubinstein, Professor of Economics, Tel Aviv University and New York University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
This seminar has been canceled.
Elena Manresa, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, New York University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Two Approaches to Iterated Reasoning in Games
Amanda Friedenberg, Professor of Economics and Director of Graduate Studies, University of Arizona,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The Wisdom of the Crowd and Higher-Order Beliefs
Mallesh Pai, Assistant Professor of Economics, Rice University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
This seminar has been canceled.
Konstantin Sonin, John Dewey Distinguished Service Professor, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Search Frictions and Product Design in the Municipal Bond Market
Karam Kang, Associate Professor of Economics, Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The Law of Large Numbers for Large Stable Matchings
Jacob Schwartz, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Haifa,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Monitoring Teams
Marina Halac, Professor of Economics and Director of Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Regulatory Costs of Being Public: Evidence from Bunching Estimation
Michael Ewens, Professor of Finance and Entrepreneurship, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Rational Anabolic Persuasion
Ran Spiegler, Professor of Economics, Tel Aviv University & University College London,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Unpaired Kidney Exchange: Overcoming Double Coincidence of Wants without Money (with Julien Combe, Yinghua He, Victor Hiller, Robert Shimerk and Olivier Tercieux)
Mohammad Akbarpour, Associate Professor of Economics, Graduate School of Business, Stanford University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Are Police Racially Biased in the Decision to Shoot?
Tom Clark, Charles Howard Candler Professor of Political Science, Emory University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Approximating Choice Data by Discrete Choice Models (with Yusuke Narita)
Kota Saito, Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Stochastic Price Adaptation, Waiting Lists, and Stochastic Gradient Descent
Itai Ashlagi, Associate Professor of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Efficiency with Political Power Dynamics and Costly Policy Change
Hülya Eraslan, Ralph O'Connor Professor of Economics, Rice University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Predictable Effects of Visual Salience in Experimental Decisions and Games
Xiaomin Li, Postdoctoral Scholar in Behavioral Economics and Neuroeconomics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
From Nash to Dominant: The Natural Index of Strategic Stability
Adam Tauman Kalai, Senior Principal Researcher, Microsoft Research,
Ehud Kalai, James J. O'Connor Distinguished Professor of Decision and Game Sciences, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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► CANCELED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
This seminar has been canceled.
Anastasia Buyalskaya, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
A Network Solution to Robust Implementation: the case of Identical but Unknown Distributions
Antonio Penta, ICREA Research Professor, Universitat Pompeu Fabra; Affiliated Professor, Barcelona GSE,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
You Can Lead a Horse to Water: Spatial Learning and Path Dependence in Consumer Search
Charles Hodgson, Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Yale University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Optimal Auctions: Non-Expected Utility and Constant Risk Aversion
Benny Moldovanu, Professor, Department of Economics, Universität Bonn,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The Impact of Privacy Measures on Online Advertising Markets
Shunto Kobayashi, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Mixed Logit and Pure Characteristics Models
Jay Lu, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, UCLA,
Kota Saito, Professor of Economics, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Robust Minimal Instability of the Top Trading Cycles Mechanism
Lars Ehlers, Professor, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Economics, Université de Montréal,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
How to Prevent Traffic Accidents? Moral Hazard, Inattention, and Behavioral Data
Yizhou Jin, Gilbert Center Postdoctoral Fellow, Economics Department and Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Random versus Directed Search for Scarce Resources
Teddy Mekonnen, Orlando Bravo Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Brown University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Merger, Product Variety and Firm Entry: the Retail Craft Beer Market in California
Ying Fan, Associate Professor (with tenure), Department of Economics, University of Michigan,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The power of referential advice
Nicolas Lambert, Visiting Associate Professor of Economics, MIT,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
A Test of the Selection on Observables Assumption Using a Discontinuously Distributed Covariate
Nese Yildiz, Associate Professor of Economics, University of Rochester,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Background Risk and Small-Stakes Risk Aversion
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Anticipation and Consumption
Neil Thakral, Nancy Donohue and Diane Elam Assistant Professor of International and Public Affairs and Economics, Brown University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Analyzing Text Data Indexed by a Hidden Characteristic: Method and Application to the Study of Media Bias in the U.S.
Yimeng Li, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Information Sequencing with Naive Social Learning
Pëllumb Reshidi, PhD Candidate, Princeton University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Sequential Sampling and Equilibrium
Duarte Gonçalves, PhD Candidate, Columbia University,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Market-Based Mechanisms
Quitzé Valenzuela-Stookey, PhD Candidate, Northwestern University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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● POSTPONED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
This seminar has been rescheduled to Wednesday, February 10.
Luciano Pomatto, Assistant Professor of Economics, Caltech,
4:00pm 5:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
A Model of Justification
Sarah Ridout, PhD Candidate in Economics, Harvard University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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● POSTPONED: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
This seminar has been postponed.
Konstantin Sonin, John Dewey Distinguished Service Professor, Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Algorithm is Experiment: Machine Learning, Market Design, and Policy Eligibility Rules
Yusuke Narita, Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics & Cowles Foundation, Yale University,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Behavioral Neural Networks
Shaowei Ke, Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, University of Michigan,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
Tug of War: Dynamic Outbidding Between Terrorist Groups
Michael Gibilisco, Assistant Professor of Political Science, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,
12:00pm 1:00pm
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Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Social Sciences Seminar

Online Event
The OxyContin Reformulation Revisited: New Evidence from Improved Definitions of Markets and Substitutes
Shiyu Zhang, Graduate Student, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Caltech,