California Institute of Technology

Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences

The Effect of Newspaper Entry and Exit on Electoral Politics

25 Baxter
Tuesday October 13, 2009 4:00 PM
Matthew Gentzkow, Professor of Economics and Neubauer Family Faculty Fellow, University of Chicago
We use new data on entries and exits of US daily newspapers from 1869 to 2004 to estimate effects on political participation, party vote shares, and electoral competitiveness. Our identification strategy exploits the precise timing of these events and llows for the possibility of confounding trends. We find that newspapers have a robust positive effect on political participation, with one additional newspaper increasing voter turnout by 0:4 percentage points. Newspaper competition is not a key driver of turnout: our effect is driven mainly by the first newspaper in a market, and the effect of a second or third paper is significantly smaller. We find no persuasive effects of partisan newspapers on party vote shares, with confidence intervals that rule out even moderate-sized effects. We find no evidence that newspapers increase electoral competitiveness.

http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/matthew.gentzkow/research/voting.pdf

Series: Ulric B. and Evelyn L. Bray Seminar in Political Economy
For more information, please phone Ext. 3829 or email edith@hss.caltech.edu

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